FTTH Forecast for Europe - Market forecasts 2021-2026

On 15 September 2021 the FTTH Council Europe revealed the updated Market Forecasts 2021-2026.

The market forecasts cover 39 countries1 and provide an individual analysis for 15 countries2.

Numbers are consistent with previous estimates and plan for around 197 million homes passed for FTTH/B in 2026 in EU27+UK compared to 118 million this year, with Germany, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands and Italy to experience the most remarkable growth.

According to the forecasts, the number of subscribers would reach 135 million in 2026 for EU27+UK and 197 million for EU39. Our estimates also show that in 2026, the FTTH/B take-up rate3 for EU27+UK will be slightly higher (68,7%) than for EU39 (65,3%), both experiencing a steady evolution over the years.

Several factors have played a role in fostering the deployment of networks. The Covid crisis led to more data traffic and more demand, which has resulted  in private investors boosting considerably their deployment projects in favour of FTTH/B to support the ongoing traffic increase. Adding to this, the launch of national programmes (infrastructures and digitalisation) and new European digital targets for 2025 and 2030 will lead to the acceleration of full-fibre connectivity across all European countries.

Whereas the general market forecasts report is publicly available, members of the FTTH Council Europe are granted exclusive access to the extended version of the asset, featuring very detailed data. This unique data allows our members, including regional and international operators, manufacturers, and investors, to efficiently navigate their business & direct their investments where it's most needed or will be viable in years to come. 

Members of the FTTH Council Europe can access the full asset and other content & exclusive services via member-restricted extranet (subject to certain conditions).

1) Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Kazakhstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Macedonia, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine and United Kingdom  

2) Belarus, France, Germany, Italy, Kazakhstan, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russia, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, Ukraine, UK

3) Take-up rate=Subscribers/Homes Passed


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